AAA Power Rankings

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brentsams
Posts: 1281
Joined: Thu Feb 16, 2012 10:52 am

AAA Power Rankings

Postby brentsams » Thu Jan 13, 2022 12:45 pm

1 Parkersburg South (R4) 97
2 Wheeling Park (R1) 86
3 University (R1) 75
4 St Albans (R3) 66
5 Spring Mills (R2) 54
6 Huntington (R4) 52
7 Woodrow Wilson (R3) 46
8 Parkersburg (R4) 32
9 Cabell Midland (R4) 31
10 Washington (R2) 26
11 George Washington (R3) 25
11 Riverside (R3) 25
13 Ripley (R4) 22
14 Hurricane (R4) 20
15 Musselman (R2) 18
16 Greenbrier East (R3) 16
16 John Marshall (R1) 16
18 Morgantown (R1) 13
19 Spring Valley (R4) 12
20 Buckhannon-Upshur (R1) 11
21 Bridgeport (R1) 9
22 Preston (R1) 5
22 South Charleston (R3) 5
24 Jefferson (R2) 4
25 Martinsburg (R2) 2
26 Hedgesville (R2) 1
26 Preston (R1) 1

Calculated from Individual Rankings

KDunbar
Posts: 940
Joined: Tue Feb 14, 2012 9:39 pm

Re: AAA Power Rankings

Postby KDunbar » Thu Jan 13, 2022 4:31 pm

OVAC tournament starting tonight will add some information as to how the top 3 stack up against one another in a tournament format. Should be interesting. However, it appears South and University are each without one of their starters

TrueSouthFanInPburg
Posts: 466
Joined: Tue Jan 28, 2014 11:29 pm

Re: AAA Power Rankings

Postby TrueSouthFanInPburg » Fri Jan 14, 2022 5:29 pm

You have Preston twice and you left out Oak Hill, Princeton,Brooke, Capital and Lincoln County.

realsouthfaninpburg
Posts: 37
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2022 3:41 am

Re: AAA Power Rankings

Postby realsouthfaninpburg » Tue Jan 18, 2022 4:05 am

you also left out Hamshire

Bearhugger
Posts: 5146
Joined: Tue Dec 25, 2012 12:14 am

Re: AAA Power Rankings

Postby Bearhugger » Tue Jan 18, 2022 9:56 am

Whereas the Power Rankings came out the same time the Coaches' individual polls came out, I am taking upon myself that ranked individuals made up the Power Rankings.

If this is correct, if a school didn't have at least one ranked wrestler, then that school would not be reflected in the Power Rankings.

I will add that Capital didn't have a team last season. I have not seen any evidence that they have a team this season either.

Another interesting observation is to compare the Power Rankings to this past weekend's results of the OVAC and Winner's Choice.

Let's not overlook Bear Tracks in any analysis.
Holy smokes. Braxton Amos works out with a landmine now!!!!!!

aacoach61
Posts: 237
Joined: Wed Feb 15, 2012 4:34 pm

Re: AAA Power Rankings

Postby aacoach61 » Tue Jan 18, 2022 10:53 am

OVAC results, AAA Power Rankings in real time.

1 278.00 Wheeling Park
2 228.50 University
3 198.00 Parkersburg South
*
6 155.50 John Marshall

KDunbar
Posts: 940
Joined: Tue Feb 14, 2012 9:39 pm

Re: AAA Power Rankings

Postby KDunbar » Wed Jan 26, 2022 4:49 am

aacoach61 wrote:OVAC results, AAA Power Rankings in real time.

1 278.00 Wheeling Park
2 228.50 University
3 198.00 Parkersburg South
*
6 155.50 John Marshall


Regarding Bearhugger's query 2 posts above, yes these are "power rankings" if you take the Jan 13 WVMAT coaches individual rankings and gave "state tournament " placement points to the eight individuals ranked.

Regarding AAcoach 16"s post highlighted above, yes the OVAC tournament gives some insight as to the order of team finish, but the points scored in the OVAC are not really "real time" for the projected/probable scores in the state tournament because the competitors involved are so drastically different than those in the state tournament.
An obvious disclaimer for the "points" awarded to each team using Brent's power ranking formula is that the actual team points will increase significantly with placement points awarded and more importantly bonus points awarded for pins, etc. that will occur at the tournament. It also does not take into account the 5, 6, or 7 points that a non placing wrestler can score for their team if they win a few matches by pin before losing twice.

Using the updated WVMAT coaches individual rankings from last week (new rankings are due out in two days) the power rankings are as follows for the top 7 teams from the coaches poll:
Wheeling Park : 96
South : 74
University : 73
Spring Mills : 70
Saint Albans : 59
Huntington : 54
Woodrow Wilson : 52

I think there are two main thoughts to take away from this information. First, Wheeling Park is a strong favorite in the team race, with University, South, and Spring Mills the top contenders for second (Both the OVAC and Brooke Classic are evidence of this). Second, the coaches ranking of team placement is slightly skewed with how teams have done head to head in duals as opposed to how they are more likely to finish in the state tournament, not that there is necessarily anything wrong with that.

KDunbar
Posts: 940
Joined: Tue Feb 14, 2012 9:39 pm

Re: AAA Power Rankings

Postby KDunbar » Fri Jan 28, 2022 12:22 pm

Updated using the January 28th individual ranking and listing the top 6 teams in the coaches poll:

Wheeling Park - 96 points
South - 79 points
University - 75 points
Spring Mills - 74 points
Saint Albans - 54 points
Woodrow Wilson - 50 points


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